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Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rufous-crowned Sparrow Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Rufous-crowned Sparrow in Texas has declined: down 33% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-33%Since 1969
75Routes In State
57Years

Notable Rufous-crowned Sparrow Trends in Texas

No notable trend signals for Rufous-crowned Sparrow in Texas. See the full index history below.

Rufous-crowned Sparrow Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Rufous-crowned Sparrow in Texas is projected to rise about 74% by 2029 — from 0.49 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.86 (95% range 0.16–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±106.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+74%Change by 2029
0.86Projected 2029 index
0.16–1.695% range
±106.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.860.161.6
20260.860.161.6
20270.860.161.6
20280.860.161.6
20290.860.161.6

Rufous-crowned Sparrow Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Rufous-crowned Sparrow in Texas.
Leakey1220241994
Duran1019991995
Chisos Basin620241995
Allen Creek620241994
Rockspring620241994
Salt Flat620151995
Lockhart519711971
Shields 2520232005
Toyahvale520241996
Longfellow520241968
Valentine519861971
Zapata419741974
Marfa420242004
Comstock420231967
Indian Mtn420241976
Boerne320191969
Bear Mtn320241988
Prairie Mtn.320241994
Hot Springs320241968
Shafter319851974
Whit Mtn.320181994
Dalhart320001998
Hobson219851983
Utopia220241969
Fitzhugh219831969

Rufous-crowned Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.