BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ruddy Duck In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesWaterfowl

Ruddy Duck in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 154% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+154%Since 1969
70Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Ruddy Duck has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 154% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ruddy Duck in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.7 (95% range 1.2–6.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+5%Change by 2029
3.7Projected 2029 index
1.2–6.195% range
±20.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.51.16.0
20263.61.16.0
20273.61.26.1
20283.61.26.1
20293.71.26.1

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Ruddy Duck in Prairie Potholes.
BraddockNORTH-DAKOTA902022
WimbledonNORTH-DAKOTA722024
BuchananNORTH-DAKOTA362024
Wild RoseNORTH-DAKOTA362024
Horsehead LkNORTH-DAKOTA322024
EdgeleyNORTH-DAKOTA292023
Lakota 2NORTH-DAKOTA282024
WestbyMONTANA252023
LakotaNORTH-DAKOTA212009
ForbesSOUTH-DAKOTA212021
BroadlandSOUTH-DAKOTA202009
Long LakeSOUTH-DAKOTA162019
Crow CreekSOUTH-DAKOTA132010
White LakeSOUTH-DAKOTA112011
WebsterNORTH-DAKOTA82024
NilesNORTH-DAKOTA82024
StanleyNORTH-DAKOTA82013
Danzig 2NORTH-DAKOTA82024
ChokioMINNESOTA42019
TenneyMINNESOTA42014
ShelbyMONTANA42018
WalcottNORTH-DAKOTA42001
LennoxSOUTH-DAKOTA42008
RaymondSOUTH-DAKOTA42021
SunburstMONTANA32002

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.