BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rose-breasted Grosbeak In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieGeneralists

Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has surged: up 126% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+126%Since 1968
246Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Rose-breasted Grosbeak has surged in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: up 126% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 1.3–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
1.3–2.595% range
±11.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.91.32.5
20261.91.32.5
20271.91.32.5
20281.91.32.5
20291.91.32.5

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
EubanksILLINOIS192024
McfallMISSOURI192024
Red RockIOWA152024
TrentonMISSOURI142024
Mt HamillIOWA122024
PaysonILLINOIS112024
BradburyILLINOIS102024
KirksvilleMISSOURI102024
Kahoka2MISSOURI102024
EmdenMISSOURI102024
Terre HauteILLINOIS92024
River FallsWISCONSIN92024
ChandlervillILLINOIS82024
AliceIOWA81999
College Spgs 2IOWA82023
KahokaMISSOURI81998
FrankfordMISSOURI82024
SherrardILLINOIS72024
SticklervillMISSOURI72024
MurdockNEBRASKA72024
SheffieldILLINOIS62024
BudaILLINOIS62023
WilliamsfldILLINOIS62024
CameronILLINOIS62024
Deer CreekILLINOIS62024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.