BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Peninsular Florida has edged down: down 20% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-20%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
56Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 157% by 2029 — from 0.74 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.00–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+157%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–4.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±74.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 157% by 2029 — from 0.74 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.00–4.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.00.004.9
20262.00.004.9
20271.90.004.9
20281.90.004.9
20291.90.004.8

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Citrus ParkFLORIDA622023
ChassahowitzFLORIDA402014
BelmoreFLORIDA282021
Boca RatonFLORIDA171994
WebbFLORIDA162011
IndiantownFLORIDA142017
Indiantown 2FLORIDA142022
DavieFLORIDA132017
Plantation KFLORIDA112004
ScottsmoorFLORIDA102024
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA92002
Mt. OliveFLORIDA92015
CrewsvilleFLORIDA92000
Ridge HarborFLORIDA92024
DeanvilleFLORIDA62004
Punta GordaFLORIDA62006
Sandy 2FLORIDA62017
San AntonioFLORIDA52021
BrowardFLORIDA51973
NobletonFLORIDA52024
KissimmeeFLORIDA52021
ArbuckleFLORIDA52021
KendallFLORIDA51991
Key LargoFLORIDA51991
Lake BuffumFLORIDA51993

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.