BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has fallen sharply: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-72%Since 1969
70Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Rock Pigeon has fallen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.61 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.00–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+65%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.695% range
±54.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.10.002.7
20261.10.002.7
20271.10.002.7
20281.00.002.6
20291.00.002.6

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
MassardARKANSAS472022
SmyrnaTEXAS252000
DerryLOUISIANA241977
CheniereLOUISIANA172024
Derry 2LOUISIANA142023
Fort JessupLOUISIANA122007
Union HillTEXAS122012
CypressLOUISIANA111987
ClayLOUISIANA111970
IndianolaOKLAHOMA102024
HopeARKANSAS62012
McalesterOKLAHOMA61986
PoyenARKANSAS51968
FillmoreLOUISIANA51989
OakdaleLOUISIANA51994
LinvilleLOUISIANA52010
GoodwillLOUISIANA52009
GraysonLOUISIANA52008
AshdownARKANSAS41999
NatchitochesLOUISIANA41991
PocolaOKLAHOMA42006
LivingstonTEXAS42024
New WaverlyTEXAS42009
Mt. SelmanTEXAS42016
HavanaARKANSAS32019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.