BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Central Hardwoods has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-63%Since 1968
144Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Rock Pigeon has fallen sharply in Central Hardwoods: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 41% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 0.00–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+41%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.695% range
±60.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.20.004.9
20262.10.004.8
20272.00.004.8
20281.90.004.7
20291.90.004.6

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Central Hardwoods.
Iron BridgeKENTUCKY311988
Million 2KENTUCKY302024
Wheeler DamALABAMA282023
NewberryINDIANA222024
West PlainsMISSOURI202023
BoxvilleKENTUCKY191983
Cedar GroveKENTUCKY182021
PimentoINDIANA172022
MarshallARKANSAS162019
ApexKENTUCKY162019
DrakesboroKENTUCKY151993
PorterKENTUCKY152021
Belotes BendTENNESSEE152018
Sulphur LickKENTUCKY132021
CentertownMISSOURI102019
BirdsILLINOIS82022
Clear SpringINDIANA72024
HustonvilleKENTUCKY72024
EastviewKENTUCKY72022
IrontonMISSOURI71975
WescoMISSOURI71992
HandleyMISSOURI72023
SedaliaMISSOURI72024
Valhermoso SpgsALABAMA62005
LurtonARKANSAS61995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.