BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 22 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

All regionsEastern Tallgrass PrairieGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-68%Since 1968
272Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Rock Pigeon has fallen sharply in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 60% by 2029 — from 5.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 0.00–6.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-60%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–6.095% range
±20.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.20.006.9
20263.00.006.7
20272.80.006.5
20282.60.006.2
20292.30.006.0

Routes In Eastern Tallgrass Prairie

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Eastern Tallgrass Prairie.
GaryINDIANA1691999
ItascaILLINOIS1162024
DecaturINDIANA822024
HumboldtILLINOIS742024
Camp PointILLINOIS602017
AldenILLINOIS542023
TecumsehOHIO521982
W CarrolltonOHIO522015
TroyOHIO511996
PortageINDIANA402004
RensselaerMISSOURI402024
GazaIOWA382023
ClarksdaleILLINOIS372022
KentonOHIO372013
WilmingtonOHIO371996
StreatorILLINOIS322024
KingsvilleMISSOURI292024
Mt VernonILLINOIS282022
CaledoniaILLINOIS262024
MaplewoodINDIANA262021
Trading PostKANSAS252024
EmdenMISSOURI252023
WabashINDIANA242024
Le RoyMINNESOTA242024
BotkinsOHIO242019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.