BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Oaks and Prairies has collapsed: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-87%Since 1969
66Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Rock Pigeon has collapsed in Oaks and Prairies: down 87% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 63% by 2029 — from 0.87 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.00–5.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±289.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+63%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.195% range
±289.6%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.70.005.4
20261.60.005.3
20271.60.005.2
20281.50.005.2
20291.40.005.1

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Oaks and Prairies.
OsageTEXAS1572009
DallasTEXAS202024
RhomeTEXAS122022
KosseTEXAS91994
HeyburnOKLAHOMA82017
SchroederTEXAS81995
BonnerTEXAS82024
BurtonTEXAS72004
HobsonTEXAS62000
Oak Grove 2TEXAS52011
Three RiversTEXAS52000
PaigeTEXAS52022
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA42010
MuldoonTEXAS42015
E GeorgetownTEXAS41979
CreedmoreTEXAS42014
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA32004
BeggsOKLAHOMA32023
Lone OakTEXAS32018
Oak GroveTEXAS31989
GauseTEXAS31997
Massey LakeTEXAS32022
Glen RoseTEXAS31994
SadlerTEXAS32017
Mount ZionTEXAS32022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.