BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Redhead In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesWaterfowl

Redhead in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 162% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+162%Since 1969
73Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Redhead has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 162% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Redhead in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.7 (95% range 2.7–6.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2029
4.7Projected 2029 index
2.7–6.795% range
±19.6%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.52.56.5
20264.52.56.5
20274.62.66.6
20284.62.66.6
20294.72.76.7

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Redhead in Prairie Potholes.
NilesNORTH-DAKOTA782024
BraddockNORTH-DAKOTA532022
Horsehead LkNORTH-DAKOTA502024
LakotaNORTH-DAKOTA502009
WimbledonNORTH-DAKOTA382024
Wild RoseNORTH-DAKOTA302024
Lakota 2NORTH-DAKOTA302024
BuchananNORTH-DAKOTA272024
Sheyenne LkNORTH-DAKOTA212024
TenneyMINNESOTA202016
RaymondSOUTH-DAKOTA202021
TurtonSOUTH-DAKOTA202019
WebsterNORTH-DAKOTA142024
CarpioNORTH-DAKOTA132023
DenbighNORTH-DAKOTA102024
ForbesSOUTH-DAKOTA102024
White LakeSOUTH-DAKOTA92011
DawsonMINNESOTA82016
Long LakeSOUTH-DAKOTA82019
MontpelierNORTH-DAKOTA72024
VeblenSOUTH-DAKOTA72019
MaltaMONTANA62023
DanzigNORTH-DAKOTA62014
CondeSOUTH-DAKOTA61984
HartlandMINNESOTA52002

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.