BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Reddish Egret Population Trend in Florida

All statesWetland birds

Reddish Egret in Florida has fallen sharply: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-73%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
44YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Reddish Egret Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Reddish Egret has fallen sharply in Florida: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Reddish Egret Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Reddish Egret in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2026, near 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±647%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2026TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.11Projected 2026 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.2895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±647%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Reddish Egret in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2026, near 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±647%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662026
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20220.110.000.28
20230.110.000.28
20240.110.000.28
20250.110.000.28
20260.110.000.28

Reddish Egret Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Reddish Egret in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Merritt Isl420111991
Sugarloaf Key 2320212005
Ft Waltn Bch219661966
Merritt Island 2220142014
Plantation K219951966
Weaver Stn220172004
Punta Gorda120021998
Port St Joe120011994
Steinhatchee119951995
Corbett119931993
Dale Mabry119711971
Scottsmoor120191986
St Vincent I120092006
Salvista119721972
Boca Raton119741974
Shawano 2120112011
Santa Rosa119971990
Card Sound120112011
Sugarloaf Key120041999
Key Largo119891989

Reddish Egret Population Trend in Other States

alabamalouisianatexas

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.