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Species · Texas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Reddish Egret Population Trend in Texas

All statesWetland birds

Reddish Egret in Texas has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

-55%Since 1975TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
14Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
38YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Reddish Egret Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Reddish Egret in Texas. See the full index history below.

Reddish Egret Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Reddish Egret in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±196.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.03Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±196.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Reddish Egret in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±196.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.030.000.09
20270.030.000.09
20280.030.000.09
20290.030.000.09
20300.030.000.09

Reddish Egret Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Reddish Egret in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dougherty419971997
Oyster Lake320251997
Indianola220231967
Bayside 2220011998
Bayside 3220252005
Lag Atascosa119951975
Kingsville119741974
L. Atascosa Nwr120221998
Padre Island Pais120152015
Chinquapin120242004
Bayside120101994
Loyola Beach 2120132010
Rock Island119831983
San Pedro120111999

Reddish Egret Population Trend in Other States

alabamafloridalouisiana

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.