Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-winged Blackbird In Piedmont
Red-winged Blackbird in Piedmont has collapsed: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-80%Since 1968
167Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Red-winged Blackbird has collapsed in Piedmont: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red-winged Blackbird in Piedmont is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±118.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1495% range
±118.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Emmitsburg | MARYLAND | 96 | 2024 |
| Croton 2 | NEW-JERSEY | 82 | 2024 |
| Aspers | PENNSYLVANIA | 78 | 1989 |
| West Grove | PENNSYLVANIA | 73 | 1996 |
| Bachman Mill | MARYLAND | 67 | 2024 |
| Earlton | MARYLAND | 58 | 2024 |
| Bendersville | PENNSYLVANIA | 51 | 2024 |
| Pendleton | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 50 | 1976 |
| Olney | MARYLAND | 48 | 2024 |
| Collegeville | PENNSYLVANIA | 48 | 2024 |
| Gatchelville | PENNSYLVANIA | 48 | 1990 |
| Pleasant Val | MARYLAND | 45 | 2024 |
| Pottersville | NEW-JERSEY | 39 | 2024 |
| Lincolnton | GEORGIA | 34 | 2017 |
| Ijamsville | MARYLAND | 34 | 2024 |
| Madonna | MARYLAND | 33 | 2022 |
| Labott | PENNSYLVANIA | 33 | 1983 |
| Rutledge | GEORGIA | 32 | 2024 |
| Pottstown | PENNSYLVANIA | 31 | 1987 |
| Doe Run | PENNSYLVANIA | 31 | 2024 |
| Taylorstown | VIRGINIA | 31 | 2010 |
| Bald Friar | MARYLAND | 29 | 1996 |
| Croton | NEW-JERSEY | 29 | 2007 |
| Leola | PENNSYLVANIA | 27 | 2024 |
| Gillette | NEW-JERSEY | 26 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.