BirdAnalyst
Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-necked Grebe Population Trend in Alaska

All statesWetland birds

Red-necked Grebe in Alaska has collapsed: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

-84%Since 1982
51Routes In State
44Years

Notable Red-necked Grebe Trends in Alaska

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-necked Grebe has collapsed in Alaska: down 84% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

Red-necked Grebe Population Forecast in Alaska

If the recent trend holds, Red-necked Grebe in Alaska is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±108.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8395% range
±108.9%Backtest error
19752029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.010.000.84
20260.000.000.83
20270.000.000.83
20280.000.000.83
20290.000.000.83

Red-necked Grebe Survey Routes in Alaska

Routes recording Red-necked Grebe in Alaska.
Selawik (Short)1519871986
Kugarak (Short)1319871986
Goose Bay519821975
Kobuk River (Short)419921992
Kenny Lake419891986
Slana320221997
Kanuti Canyn320011998
Tower Bluffs220132013
Northway220221989
Hather Creek220242009
Nicholai Sl220241993
Willow220241999
Mud River220222022
Salmon Lake220091996
Ft. Richrdsn220101994
Elmendorf (Short)219851984
Gweek River220011994
Tupuknuk219951995
Kachemak220241987
Bear Creek219911986
Wasilla219831983
Galena (Short)220241987
Kotzebue (Short)219861986
Swan Lake Rd220231982
Anchor River219971997

Red-necked Grebe Population Trend in Other States

idahominnesotamontananorth-dakotaoregonwashingtonwisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.