BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-cockaded Woodpecker In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Red-cockaded Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 374% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+374%Since 1969
16Routes In Region
32Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red-cockaded Woodpecker has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 374% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-cockaded Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 50% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.52 (95% range 0.11–0.94). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.8%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-50%Change by 2029
0.52Projected 2029 index
0.11–0.9495% range
±61.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.490.070.90
20260.500.080.91
20270.510.090.92
20280.510.100.93
20290.520.110.94

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Red-cockaded Woodpecker in Peninsular Florida.
CitrusFLORIDA142024
GoetheFLORIDA122024
OcalaFLORIDA52024
WebbFLORIDA52024
MicanopyFLORIDA21974
SalvistaFLORIDA21977
CroomFLORIDA22024
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA22024
Myakka HeadFLORIDA11990
St AugustineFLORIDA11978
MabelFLORIDA11968
ChildsFLORIDA11976
KenansvilleFLORIDA12019
IndiantownFLORIDA11977
PalmdaleFLORIDA11987
Babcock RnchFLORIDA11989

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.