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Species · Oregon · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-breasted Sapsucker Population Trend in Oregon

All statesForest birds

Red-breasted Sapsucker in Oregon has surged: up 155% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+155%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
76Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-breasted Sapsucker Trends in OregonNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-breasted Sapsucker has surged in Oregon: up 155% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Red-breasted Sapsucker Population Forecast in Oregon

If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Sapsucker in Oregon is projected to fall about 12% by 2030 — from 0.85 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.44–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.74Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.44–1.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-breasted Sapsucker in Oregon is projected to fall about 12% by 2030 — from 0.85 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.44–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.720.411.0
20270.720.411.0
20280.730.421.0
20290.740.431.0
20300.740.441.1

Red-breasted Sapsucker Survey Routes in Oregon

Routes recording Red-breasted Sapsucker in Oregon.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lorane1020251994
Bull Run620252007
Blue River620251992
Selma620251993
Lakeview620251997
Cinderella520251993
Santiam420251995
Cool Camp420101968
Scio420251975
Davis Lake420252024
Umpqua320241971
Dell Spring319891983
Modoc Point320141971
Paisley320251997
Garfield320231973
Camp Sherman319941972
Secret Val320251975
Warner Mtn.320251992
Chinchalo320251997
Modoc Point 2220242024
Tualatin220251990
Sandy River220061993
Deschutes219691969
Nicolai Mtn.220251993
Wizard Falls220242006

Red-breasted Sapsucker Population Trend in Other States

alaskacaliforniaidahomontananevadawashington

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.