Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Purple Martin In Chihuahuan Desert
Purple Martin in Chihuahuan Desert has edged down: down 11% on the route-weighted index since 1979.
-11%Since 1979
10Routes In Region
42Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Purple Martin in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Purple Martin in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to rise about 206% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.21 (95% range 0.00–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+206%Change by 2029
0.21Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6895% range
±69.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| 2026 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| 2027 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.69 |
| 2028 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2029 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
Routes In Chihuahuan Desert
| Comstock | TEXAS | 7 | 2023 |
| Longfellow | TEXAS | 6 | 2023 |
| Cloudcroft | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2024 |
| Pinon | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2003 |
| Girvin | TEXAS | 2 | 1979 |
| Devils R Cyn | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Rodeo | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 1984 |
| Altuda | TEXAS | 1 | 2011 |
| Ozona | TEXAS | 1 | 1996 |
| Pumpville | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.