BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Prothonotary Warbler In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Prothonotary Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-35%Since 1969
88Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Prothonotary Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Prothonotary Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 72% by 2029 — from 0.80 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.00–0.67). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±67.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-72%Change by 2029
0.22Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6795% range
±67.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.280.000.72
20260.260.000.71
20270.250.000.70
20280.240.000.68
20290.220.000.67

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Prothonotary Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
EnterpriseLOUISIANA62024
PoyenARKANSAS52006
Poyen 2ARKANSAS42024
NatchezLOUISIANA42024
EvelynLOUISIANA42024
Bon WierTEXAS42024
Smyrna 2TEXAS42023
CrowsARKANSAS31988
SpringhillARKANSAS32021
EastonLOUISIANA31990
CypressLOUISIANA31987
LongstreetLOUISIANA31997
Mount UnionLOUISIANA32024
GoodwillLOUISIANA32024
SandbluffOKLAHOMA31995
HopeARKANSAS22024
FishvilleLOUISIANA22014
Mer RougeLOUISIANA22008
ChathamLOUISIANA21973
FillmoreLOUISIANA21988
CartervilleLOUISIANA21992
De QuincyLOUISIANA22014
Flat CreekLOUISIANA22024
NatchitochesLOUISIANA21991
Burr FerryLOUISIANA22021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.