Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Prairie Falcon In Prairie Potholes

Prairie Falcon in Prairie Potholes has edged down: down 14% on the route-weighted index since 1981.

-14%Since 1981
12Routes In Region
24Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Prairie Falcon in Prairie Potholes. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Prairie Falcon in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.000.0495% range
±47.2%Backtest error
19732029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.020.000.04
20260.020.000.04
20270.020.000.04
20280.020.000.04
20290.020.000.04

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Prairie Falcon in Prairie Potholes.
GildfordMONTANA22023
LockhartMINNESOTA11999
Big StoneMINNESOTA11996
Hay LakeMONTANA12015
VirgelleMONTANA12024
ClevelandMONTANA12015
HarlemMONTANA11983
MaltaMONTANA12017
GlasgowMONTANA12002
RedstoneMONTANA11974
Great FallsMONTANA12015
ShelbyMONTANA12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.