BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pinyon Jay In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGeneralists

Pinyon Jay in Badlands and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-63%Since 1971
27Routes In Region
52Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Pinyon Jay has fallen sharply in Badlands and Prairies: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pinyon Jay in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 84% by 2029 — from 0.20 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.51). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±238.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-84%Change by 2029
0.03Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5195% range
±238.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.060.000.53
20260.050.000.53
20270.050.000.52
20280.040.000.52
20290.030.000.51

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Pinyon Jay in Badlands and Prairies.
RecluseWYOMING351983
MayoworthWYOMING301992
Roubaix LkSOUTH-DAKOTA101989
Reed PointMONTANA92019
Teapot DomeWYOMING91983
Custer 2MONTANA82024
CusterSOUTH-DAKOTA62013
Two DotMONTANA51996
PineyWYOMING51981
Wind Cave NpSOUTH-DAKOTA42024
BrusettMONTANA31989
Pleasant ValSOUTH-DAKOTA32007
MeadowdaleWYOMING31984
JordanMONTANA22011
ForsythMONTANA22008
BrandenbergMONTANA22006
SundanceWYOMING21975
BucknumWYOMING22024
LeroyMONTANA12013
ShawmutMONTANA12018
Bull Mtn.MONTANA12016
Elk MountainSOUTH-DAKOTA11997
HazelrodtSOUTH-DAKOTA12005
NatronaWYOMING11991
Soda WellWYOMING12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.