BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pine Warbler In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

Pine Warbler in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 16× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

16×Since 1968
100Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Pine Warbler has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 16× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 2.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 1.8–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+29%Change by 2029
2.6Projected 2029 index
1.8–3.495% range
±32.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.41.63.3
20262.51.73.3
20272.51.73.4
20282.61.73.4
20292.61.83.4

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Pine Warbler in Central Hardwoods.
WilliamsvillMISSOURI232024
Ozark NfARKANSAS212024
LurtonARKANSAS192023
CentervilleMISSOURI182024
BennettMISSOURI172024
ZionARKANSAS122023
AkersMISSOURI122024
MarshallARKANSAS112021
MincyMISSOURI112024
PalaceMISSOURI112024
CollinwoodTENNESSEE112024
TrianaALABAMA102012
Boston Mtn.ARKANSAS102024
CascadeMISSOURI102024
HoosierINDIANA92024
Rueter 2MISSOURI92024
Trace CollinwoodTENNESSEE92018
Valhermoso SpgsALABAMA82010
HillsboroALABAMA71996
RupertARKANSAS72024
WescoMISSOURI72024
Valhermoso Spg 2ALABAMA62014
SyracuseMISSOURI62016
SwaimALABAMA52024
RueterMISSOURI52022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.