Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pied-billed Grebe In Peninsular Florida
Pied-billed Grebe in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-89%Since 1968
41Routes In Region
49Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Pied-billed Grebe has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pied-billed Grebe in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2027 — from 0.06 in 2022 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±685.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2027
0.00Projected 2027 index
0.00–1.195% range
±685.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2024 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Routes In Peninsular Florida
| Devils Gardn | FLORIDA | 4 | 1996 |
| Winter Gardn | FLORIDA | 3 | 2007 |
| Sandy | FLORIDA | 3 | 1996 |
| Webb | FLORIDA | 3 | 1991 |
| Holey Land | FLORIDA | 3 | 2009 |
| Scottsmoor | FLORIDA | 2 | 1990 |
| Sunniland Gr | FLORIDA | 2 | 1969 |
| Ft Lonesome | FLORIDA | 2 | 2005 |
| Kenansville | FLORIDA | 2 | 2003 |
| Salvista | FLORIDA | 2 | 1971 |
| Tamiami | FLORIDA | 2 | 1974 |
| Flemington | FLORIDA | 2 | 1993 |
| Lake Buffum | FLORIDA | 2 | 2005 |
| Punta Gorda | FLORIDA | 2 | 1980 |
| Corbett | FLORIDA | 2 | 2012 |
| Romeo | FLORIDA | 1 | 1995 |
| St Augustine | FLORIDA | 1 | 1967 |
| San Antonio | FLORIDA | 1 | 2004 |
| Belmore | FLORIDA | 1 | 1971 |
| Mabel | FLORIDA | 1 | 2005 |
| Childs | FLORIDA | 1 | 2000 |
| Pinecrest | FLORIDA | 1 | 1970 |
| Alturas | FLORIDA | 1 | 1986 |
| Indiantown | FLORIDA | 1 | 2003 |
| Broward | FLORIDA | 1 | 1969 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.