Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pied-billed Grebe In Peninsular Florida

Pied-billed Grebe in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-89%Since 1968
41Routes In Region
49Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Pied-billed Grebe has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pied-billed Grebe in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2027 — from 0.06 in 2022 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±685.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2027
0.00Projected 2027 index
0.001.195% range
±685.2%Backtest error
19662027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20230.000.001.1
20240.000.001.1
20250.000.001.1
20260.000.001.1
20270.000.001.1

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Pied-billed Grebe in Peninsular Florida.
Devils GardnFLORIDA41996
Winter GardnFLORIDA32007
SandyFLORIDA31996
WebbFLORIDA31991
Holey LandFLORIDA32009
ScottsmoorFLORIDA21990
Sunniland GrFLORIDA21969
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA22005
KenansvilleFLORIDA22003
SalvistaFLORIDA21971
TamiamiFLORIDA21974
FlemingtonFLORIDA21993
Lake BuffumFLORIDA22005
Punta GordaFLORIDA21980
CorbettFLORIDA22012
RomeoFLORIDA11995
St AugustineFLORIDA11967
San AntonioFLORIDA12004
BelmoreFLORIDA11971
MabelFLORIDA12005
ChildsFLORIDA12000
PinecrestFLORIDA11970
AlturasFLORIDA11986
IndiantownFLORIDA12003
BrowardFLORIDA11969

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.