Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Palm Warbler Population Trend in Michigan
Palm Warbler in Michigan has surged: up 123% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
+123%Since 1992
15Routes In State
29Years
Notable Palm Warbler Trends in Michigan
long arc increasecomputed index
Palm Warbler has surged in Michigan: up 123% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
Palm Warbler Population Forecast in Michigan
If the recent trend holds, Palm Warbler in Michigan is projected to rise about 220% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.20 (95% range 0.04–0.38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+220%Change by 2029
0.20Projected 2029 index
0.04–0.3895% range
±78.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 0.36 |
| 2026 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 0.36 |
| 2027 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 0.37 |
| 2028 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 0.37 |
| 2029 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.38 |
Palm Warbler Survey Routes in Michigan
| Pine River | 4 | 2016 | 1992 |
| Gibbs City | 3 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Hiawatha Nf | 2 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Ishpeming | 2 | 2023 | 2015 |
| Cunard | 2 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Tahquamenon | 2 | 1995 | 1994 |
| Ontonagon | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Crystal Fls | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Brocky Lake | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Betchler Lks | 1 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Shingleton | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Creighton | 1 | 2006 | 1992 |
| Seney Nwr | 1 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Big Island Lake | 1 | 2009 | 2008 |
| Muskallonge | 1 | 1980 | 1980 |
Palm Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.