BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Painted Bunting In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Painted Bunting in Chihuahuan Desert has risen sharply: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+74%Since 1969
31Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Painted Bunting has risen sharply in Chihuahuan Desert: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Painted Bunting in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 34% by 2029 — from 5.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 1.3–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-34%Change by 2029
3.7Projected 2029 index
1.3–6.295% range
±28.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.71.26.1
20263.71.26.1
20273.71.26.2
20283.71.36.2
20293.71.36.2

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Painted Bunting in Chihuahuan Desert.
LongfellowTEXAS562024
Devils R CynTEXAS452024
ComstockTEXAS442023
OzonaTEXAS332022
PumpvilleTEXAS312024
LangtryTEXAS192000
Coyanda DrawTEXAS122024
GirvinTEXAS112024
ToyahvaleTEXAS52024
CastolonTEXAS42018
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO22023
Delaware CrkTEXAS22014
PresidioTEXAS22023
Ft. StocktonTEXAS22024
Quitman Cyn.TEXAS22008
Ft. DavisTEXAS22023
QueenNEW-MEXICO12014
Hot SpringsTEXAS12009
Black GapTEXAS12021
ShafterTEXAS11977
AltudaTEXAS12023
CornudasTEXAS12006
Casa PiedraTEXAS12023
Bear MtnTEXAS12024
Sierra BlancTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.