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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Painted Bunting In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau has held roughly steady: down 5% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-5%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 36 (95% range 23–49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+5%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
36Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
23–4995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 36 (95% range 23–49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025352249
2026362249
2027362349
2028362349
2029362349

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pidcoke 2TEXAS692024
HarperTEXAS632024
PidcokeTEXAS512017
Allen CreekTEXAS482024
Valley SpgsTEXAS472024
Dripping SpgTEXAS472024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS432024
KempnerTEXAS412024
San SabaTEXAS392024
AdamsvilleTEXAS342024
UtopiaTEXAS322024
RockspringTEXAS302024
MontellTEXAS182024
BoerneTEXAS142024
FitzhughTEXAS131983
Indian MtnTEXAS122024
LeanderTEXAS102006
ManorTEXAS82024
LeakeyTEXAS82024
GeorgetownTEXAS21985

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.