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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Painted Bunting In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauForest birds

Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau has held roughly steady: up 1% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+1%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Painted Bunting In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 12% by 2030 — from 42 in 2025 to a central estimate of 37 (95% range 24–50). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
37Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
24–5095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 12% by 2030 — from 42 in 2025 to a central estimate of 37 (95% range 24–50). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026362349
2027362349
2028372350
2029372450
2030372450

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Painted Bunting in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pidcoke 2TEXAS882025
Allen CreekTEXAS692025
HarperTEXAS642025
Valley SpgsTEXAS562025
KempnerTEXAS562025
AdamsvilleTEXAS542025
PidcokeTEXAS512017
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS472025
Dripping SpgTEXAS442025
San SabaTEXAS432025
UtopiaTEXAS402025
BoerneTEXAS302025
LeakeyTEXAS222025
RockspringTEXAS222025
MontellTEXAS162025
FitzhughTEXAS131983
Indian MtnTEXAS112025
LeanderTEXAS102006
ManorTEXAS82024
Manor 2TEXAS82025
GeorgetownTEXAS21985

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.