BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ovenbird In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontForest birds

Ovenbird in Piedmont has surged: up 140% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+140%Since 1968
141Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Ovenbird has surged in Piedmont: up 140% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ovenbird in Piedmont is projected to rise about 56% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.9 (95% range 2.5–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+56%Change by 2029
3.9Projected 2029 index
2.5–5.295% range
±52.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.72.45.0
20263.72.45.0
20273.82.55.1
20283.82.55.1
20293.92.55.2

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Ovenbird in Piedmont.
Pw Forest PkVIRGINIA462009
Ft Pickett SVIRGINIA211995
Ft Pickett NVIRGINIA191995
GuptonNORTH-CAROLINA172024
EarltonMARYLAND152024
YoungsvilleNORTH-CAROLINA142024
HallVIRGINIA142023
Uwharrie NfNORTH-CAROLINA132001
PartlowVIRGINIA132015
ArcolaNORTH-CAROLINA122024
Church RoadVIRGINIA122024
EkloMARYLAND102018
OsmondNORTH-CAROLINA102024
SharonGEORGIA92022
BullockNORTH-CAROLINA92024
GoldstonNORTH-CAROLINA92022
BrodnaxVIRGINIA92024
Carrs StationGEORGIA82024
WylliesburgVIRGINIA82019
AppomattoxVIRGINIA82024
Van BibberMARYLAND72013
Bald FriarMARYLAND71996
Mt Gretna 2PENNSYLVANIA72022
Carters BrdgVIRGINIA72014
IrisburgVIRGINIA72023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.