BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Gulf Coastal Prairie has fallen sharply: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-58%Since 1969
36Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has fallen sharply in Gulf Coastal Prairie: down 58% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 29% by 2029 — from 5.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.7 (95% range 0.00–9.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±927.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-29%Change by 2029
3.7Projected 2029 index
0.00–9.495% range
±927.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.70.009.4
20263.70.009.4
20273.70.009.4
20283.70.009.4
20293.70.009.4

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Ltl Chenier 2LOUISIANA782011
JuniorLOUISIANA691991
Forked IslandLOUISIANA622024
Ltl ChenierLOUISIANA482024
Forked Island 2LOUISIANA472011
Sabine NwrLOUISIANA302008
IndianolaTEXAS262023
Sabine Nwr 2LOUISIANA172017
LafitteLOUISIANA71991
Grand IsleLOUISIANA72019
CreoleLOUISIANA61987
MamouLOUISIANA31982
VanderbiltTEXAS21972
StowellTEXAS22009
Rock IslandTEXAS22023
San PedroTEXAS22017
Gran ChenierLOUISIANA11981
HackberryLOUISIANA12014
GlencoeLOUISIANA12018
EstherLOUISIANA12022
MauriceLOUISIANA12006
KaplanLOUISIANA12023
RichardLOUISIANA12008
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA12019
WoodlawnLOUISIANA12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.