BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Chihuahuan Desert has held roughly steady: down 2% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-2%Since 1969
21Routes In Region
53Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Orchard Oriole in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 0.66 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.56 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
0.56Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±16.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.560.001.2
20260.560.001.2
20270.560.001.2
20280.560.001.2
20290.560.001.2

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Chihuahuan Desert.
LongfellowTEXAS72024
OzonaTEXAS62022
PumpvilleTEXAS62024
GirvinTEXAS32024
LangtryTEXAS31998
Devils R CynTEXAS32024
ComstockTEXAS22023
Delaware CrkTEXAS22014
Ft. StocktonTEXAS22021
ToyahvaleTEXAS22018
MarathonTEXAS22022
JornadaNEW-MEXICO11980
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO12003
Hot SpringsTEXAS11987
ShafterTEXAS11973
AltudaTEXAS12016
Casa PiedraTEXAS12022
Bear MtnTEXAS12016
CastolonTEXAS12001
Coyanda DrawTEXAS12013
Quitman Cyn.TEXAS12006

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.