BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-69%Since 1968
16Routes In Region
51Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2995% range
±68.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.040.000.31
20260.030.000.30
20270.030.000.30
20280.030.000.29
20290.020.000.29

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Peninsular Florida.
St AugustineFLORIDA31993
MabelFLORIDA22006
ScottsmoorFLORIDA22006
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA21987
Winter GardnFLORIDA21995
OcalaFLORIDA21987
MicanopyFLORIDA11988
RomeoFLORIDA12024
San AntonioFLORIDA11995
BelmoreFLORIDA11996
Ft MccoyFLORIDA12012
DeanvilleFLORIDA12011
FlemingtonFLORIDA11996
AripekaFLORIDA11987
Island GroveFLORIDA12005
Mt. OliveFLORIDA12008

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.