BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 16× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

16×Since 1968
119Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 16× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 0.52 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.69 (95% range 0.53–0.84). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+32%Change by 2029
0.69Projected 2029 index
0.53–0.8495% range
±18.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.640.480.80
20260.650.490.81
20270.660.510.82
20280.680.520.83
20290.690.530.84

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
BismarkOHIO61995
BriggsvilleWISCONSIN62024
KewannaINDIANA42021
MiddleburyINDIANA42024
N FreedomWISCONSIN42024
Fall RiverWISCONSIN42024
AnnatonWISCONSIN42024
Cherry ValILLINOIS32001
Columbia CtyINDIANA32004
CaledoniaMINNESOTA31994
GuilfordILLINOIS22023
Lake GalenaILLINOIS22014
KnoxINDIANA22024
PackertownINDIANA22004
LagrangeINDIANA22024
New TroyMICHIGAN21995
NashvilleMICHIGAN22021
GalesburgMICHIGAN22024
PrattvilleMICHIGAN22018
S LyonsMICHIGAN21990
Bell Oak 2MICHIGAN22023
Money CreekMINNESOTA22023
GlenwoodMINNESOTA22019
WeyerhauserWISCONSIN22024
CadottWISCONSIN22021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.