BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Oaks and Prairies has collapsed: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-92%Since 1969
70Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has collapsed in Oaks and Prairies: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.40 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±296.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.095% range
±296.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.002.0
20260.000.002.0
20270.000.002.0
20280.000.002.0
20290.000.002.0

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Oaks and Prairies.
Massey LakeTEXAS72024
MuldoonTEXAS42008
FanninTEXAS42006
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA31977
SkiatookOKLAHOMA32019
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA22017
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA22024
Oak GroveTEXAS21986
OlaTEXAS22011
AlbanyTEXAS22023
Wolfe CityTEXAS21986
OlneyTEXAS22024
HenriettaTEXAS22018
CayugaTEXAS22010
CarlosTEXAS22019
CreedmoreTEXAS22011
Gambill Ref.TEXAS22012
ComancheTEXAS22024
LocoOKLAHOMA11974
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA11979
BeggsOKLAHOMA12007
ChoctawOKLAHOMA12006
NobleOKLAHOMA12021
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA12024
HeyburnOKLAHOMA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.