Species · Connecticut · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Waterthrush Population Trend in Connecticut
Northern Waterthrush in Connecticut has fallen sharply: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-54%Since 1969
16Routes In State
50Years
Notable Northern Waterthrush Trends in Connecticut
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Waterthrush has fallen sharply in Connecticut: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Northern Waterthrush Population Forecast in Connecticut
If the recent trend holds, Northern Waterthrush in Connecticut is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 0.22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–0.46). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-19%Change by 2029
0.18Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4695% range
±44.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.47 |
| 2026 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| 2027 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| 2028 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
| 2029 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.46 |
Northern Waterthrush Survey Routes in Connecticut
| E Hartland | 2 | 1971 | 1968 |
| New Hartford | 2 | 2011 | 1998 |
| No Woodbury | 2 | 1998 | 1973 |
| Woodstock 2 | 2 | 2024 | 2018 |
| New Hartford | 2 | 1979 | 1978 |
| Mystic | 1 | 2002 | 1978 |
| Uncasville | 1 | 2023 | 1999 |
| Woodstock | 1 | 2005 | 1968 |
| Willimantic | 1 | 2018 | 1967 |
| Sherman | 1 | 1980 | 1980 |
| Danbury | 1 | 2015 | 2009 |
| Warren | 1 | 2008 | 1972 |
| Long Hill | 1 | 2018 | 1982 |
| Mid Haddam | 1 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Southington | 1 | 1985 | 1976 |
| Granby | 1 | 2023 | 2014 |
Northern Waterthrush Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.