Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Mockingbird In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Northern Mockingbird in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has fallen sharply: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-50%Since 1968
160Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Northern Mockingbird has fallen sharply in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 6.9–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
6.91495% range
±17.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025117.615
2026117.415
2027117.215
2028117.015
2029116.914

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Northern Mockingbird in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Fair HillMARYLAND561996
Pedricktown 2NEW-JERSEY462024
LargoMARYLAND431981
PedricktownNEW-JERSEY432012
DeepwaterNEW-JERSEY421977
Grove NeckMARYLAND401996
HolleyvilleDELAWARE392004
MasonvilleNEW-JERSEY391970
MelitotaMARYLAND382024
Forest GroveMARYLAND372023
Cape May ChNEW-JERSEY372013
QuinbyVIRGINIA372024
Holleyville 2DELAWARE362024
JonesMARYLAND361994
Pt RepublicMARYLAND361989
Piney NeckMARYLAND362024
CokesburyMARYLAND352024
CheltenhamMARYLAND342004
Jones BeachNEW-YORK342013
HarringtonDELAWARE312024
RobbinsvilleNEW-JERSEY311979
Cape CharlesVIRGINIA312018
Lowes XrdsDELAWARE301991
HarmonyMARYLAND302017
MillingtonMARYLAND292024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.