Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Mockingbird In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast
Northern Mockingbird in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has fallen sharply: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-50%Since 1968
160Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Mockingbird has fallen sharply in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 6.9–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-12%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
6.9–1495% range
±17.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 7.6 | 15 |
| 2026 | 11 | 7.4 | 15 |
| 2027 | 11 | 7.2 | 15 |
| 2028 | 11 | 7.0 | 15 |
| 2029 | 11 | 6.9 | 14 |
Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast
| Fair Hill | MARYLAND | 56 | 1996 |
| Pedricktown 2 | NEW-JERSEY | 46 | 2024 |
| Largo | MARYLAND | 43 | 1981 |
| Pedricktown | NEW-JERSEY | 43 | 2012 |
| Deepwater | NEW-JERSEY | 42 | 1977 |
| Grove Neck | MARYLAND | 40 | 1996 |
| Holleyville | DELAWARE | 39 | 2004 |
| Masonville | NEW-JERSEY | 39 | 1970 |
| Melitota | MARYLAND | 38 | 2024 |
| Forest Grove | MARYLAND | 37 | 2023 |
| Cape May Ch | NEW-JERSEY | 37 | 2013 |
| Quinby | VIRGINIA | 37 | 2024 |
| Holleyville 2 | DELAWARE | 36 | 2024 |
| Jones | MARYLAND | 36 | 1994 |
| Pt Republic | MARYLAND | 36 | 1989 |
| Piney Neck | MARYLAND | 36 | 2024 |
| Cokesbury | MARYLAND | 35 | 2024 |
| Cheltenham | MARYLAND | 34 | 2004 |
| Jones Beach | NEW-YORK | 34 | 2013 |
| Harrington | DELAWARE | 31 | 2024 |
| Robbinsville | NEW-JERSEY | 31 | 1979 |
| Cape Charles | VIRGINIA | 31 | 2018 |
| Lowes Xrds | DELAWARE | 30 | 1991 |
| Harmony | MARYLAND | 30 | 2017 |
| Millington | MARYLAND | 29 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.