Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Mockingbird In Central Hardwoods
Northern Mockingbird in Central Hardwoods has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-56%Since 1968
161Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Mockingbird has fallen sharply in Central Hardwoods: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern Mockingbird in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 9.2 (95% range 4.1–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-9%Change by 2029
9.2Projected 2029 index
4.1–1495% range
±8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9.9 | 4.8 | 15 |
| 2026 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 15 |
| 2027 | 9.6 | 4.4 | 15 |
| 2028 | 9.4 | 4.3 | 15 |
| 2029 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 14 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Peytonsville | TENNESSEE | 69 | 2024 |
| Hillsboro | ALABAMA | 49 | 1996 |
| Carter Grove | ALABAMA | 36 | 2023 |
| Collinwood | TENNESSEE | 36 | 2024 |
| Avoca | ARKANSAS | 35 | 2024 |
| Courtland | ALABAMA | 32 | 2023 |
| Tullahoma | TENNESSEE | 32 | 2015 |
| Valhermoso Spg 2 | ALABAMA | 31 | 2014 |
| Russell | ARKANSAS | 30 | 2021 |
| Glen | TENNESSEE | 30 | 2024 |
| Keysburg | KENTUCKY | 28 | 2024 |
| Cedar Grove | KENTUCKY | 28 | 2024 |
| Campbellsville | TENNESSEE | 28 | 2019 |
| Elkmont | ALABAMA | 27 | 2024 |
| Farwell | ARKANSAS | 27 | 2018 |
| Ravenden Springs | ARKANSAS | 26 | 2015 |
| Sulphur Lick | KENTUCKY | 26 | 2024 |
| White House | TENNESSEE | 26 | 2019 |
| Petersburg | TENNESSEE | 25 | 2019 |
| Valhermoso Spgs | ALABAMA | 24 | 2010 |
| Hudson | KENTUCKY | 24 | 2024 |
| Bays Fork | KENTUCKY | 24 | 2019 |
| Centerton | ARKANSAS | 23 | 2024 |
| Iron Bridge | KENTUCKY | 23 | 1998 |
| Merrimac | KENTUCKY | 23 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.