Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern House Wren In Central Hardwoods
Northern House Wren in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 757% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+757%Since 1968
132Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Northern House Wren has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 757% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.0 (95% range 2.0–3.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+6%Change by 2029
3.0Projected 2029 index
2.0–3.995% range
±10.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 3.7 |
| 2026 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 3.8 |
| 2027 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 3.8 |
| 2028 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 3.9 |
| 2029 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.9 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Vevay | INDIANA | 25 | 2024 |
| Sewell Shop | KENTUCKY | 25 | 2023 |
| Buena Vista | KENTUCKY | 19 | 2017 |
| Mcbrayer | KENTUCKY | 18 | 2024 |
| Pleasurevill | KENTUCKY | 18 | 2024 |
| Spencer | INDIANA | 17 | 2024 |
| Avoca | ARKANSAS | 15 | 2024 |
| Eastview | KENTUCKY | 13 | 2024 |
| Glencoe | KENTUCKY | 13 | 2022 |
| Doe Run | MISSOURI | 13 | 2024 |
| Indian Spgs | INDIANA | 12 | 2024 |
| Azalia | INDIANA | 11 | 2024 |
| Cedar Grove | KENTUCKY | 10 | 2024 |
| Johnsonville | KENTUCKY | 9 | 2021 |
| Plum | KENTUCKY | 8 | 2024 |
| Bays Fork | KENTUCKY | 8 | 2019 |
| Woodlandville | MISSOURI | 8 | 2024 |
| Delwood | ILLINOIS | 7 | 2024 |
| Cyprss | INDIANA | 7 | 2024 |
| Goshen | KENTUCKY | 7 | 1999 |
| Birds | ILLINOIS | 6 | 2024 |
| Bremen | ILLINOIS | 6 | 2024 |
| Brazil | INDIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Hodgenville 2 | KENTUCKY | 6 | 2023 |
| Syracuse | MISSOURI | 6 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.