BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern House Wren In Prairie Potholes

All regionsPrairie PotholesForest birds

Northern House Wren in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 132% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+132%Since 1969
121Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern House Wren has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 132% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern House Wren in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 14 (95% range 9.0–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029
14Projected 2029 index
9.0–1995% range
±14.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025148.718
2026148.818
2027148.919
2028149.019
2029149.019

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Northern House Wren in Prairie Potholes.
Eagle CreekNEBRASKA582024
MidwayNEBRASKA572023
DenbighNORTH-DAKOTA432024
WorthingtonMINNESOTA422024
HowardSOUTH-DAKOTA412024
TracyMINNESOTA362024
BeltramiMINNESOTA322024
TildenNEBRASKA292024
Turtle MtnsNORTH-DAKOTA292024
ChandlerMINNESOTA272023
EdgeleyNORTH-DAKOTA262024
CooperstownNORTH-DAKOTA262024
AbercrombieNORTH-DAKOTA262012
AppletonMINNESOTA252024
EmeradoNORTH-DAKOTA252024
WalcottNORTH-DAKOTA242023
Redwood FallMINNESOTA232024
PoncaNEBRASKA232024
PantherIOWA222024
TitonkaIOWA222024
WinsideNEBRASKA222003
BrittonSOUTH-DAKOTA222023
Chokio NorthMINNESOTA212024
MccallsburgIOWA202024
OkleeMINNESOTA202021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.