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Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Northern Pacific Rainforest has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-37%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
98Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Northern Pacific Rainforest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 39% by 2030 — from 3.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.00–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-39%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–4.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±30.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 39% by 2030 — from 3.2 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.00–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.20.004.6
20272.10.004.6
20282.10.004.5
20292.00.004.5
20302.00.004.4

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
YrekaCALIFORNIA192019
GazelleCALIFORNIA152021
DerbyOREGON141993
ScappooseOREGON142025
SalemOREGON132025
Sams ValleyOREGON122025
KamilcheWASHINGTON112025
McchordWASHINGTON112014
HoneydewCALIFORNIA102017
Hay ForkCALIFORNIA102017
AdairOREGON102025
UmpquaOREGON92025
DaytonOREGON92025
McminnvilleOREGON92025
CamasWASHINGTON92018
CanbyOREGON82025
ProspectOREGON82025
Port AngelesWASHINGTON82025
South ElmaWASHINGTON82024
Bodega BayCALIFORNIA72021
GarfieldOREGON72025
Emigrant LkOREGON72001
GreenOREGON72025
RuchOREGON72025
Bunker HillWASHINGTON72025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.