BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastGeneralists

Mourning Dove in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has increased: up 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+37%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
164Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 27 (95% range 21–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
27Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
21–3395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 27 (95% range 21–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026272133
2027272133
2028272133
2029272133
2030272133

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Mourning Dove in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
ClarksvilleNEW-JERSEY1081991
HarringtonDELAWARE922025
CheltenhamMARYLAND852004
Pedricktown 2NEW-JERSEY672025
DeepwaterNEW-JERSEY651977
PedricktownNEW-JERSEY632012
HolmansvilleNEW-JERSEY602009
Woodbury HgtNEW-JERSEY562025
FredericaDELAWARE542025
HolleyvilleDELAWARE542004
Milton 2DELAWARE542025
DanburyCONNECTICUT522023
Island CreekMARYLAND522025
Tall TimbersMARYLAND512014
E PepperellMASSACHUSETTS511994
HongaMARYLAND502025
Golden HillMARYLAND482025
CokesburyMARYLAND472025
NewarkMARYLAND462025
MelitotaMARYLAND452025
ViennaMARYLAND452025
MadisonMARYLAND442025
WillimanticCONNECTICUT432018
FrankfordDELAWARE432012
EastonMARYLAND432025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.