BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Piedmont has held roughly steady: down 2% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-2%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
172Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 33 (95% range 26–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-2%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
33Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
26–4095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±3.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 33 (95% range 26–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025342741
2026342741
2027342740
2028332740
2029332640

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA992019
CallNORTH-CAROLINA832024
BullockNORTH-CAROLINA742024
OakboroNORTH-CAROLINA732024
BrodnaxVIRGINIA732024
EmmitsburgMARYLAND722024
West GrovePENNSYLVANIA721996
Mount JoyPENNSYLVANIA702024
WheatonMARYLAND672024
BlacksburgSOUTH-CAROLINA652013
GladysVIRGINIA652024
Hulls XroadsNORTH-CAROLINA642023
OlneyMARYLAND632024
BendersvillePENNSYLVANIA612024
RinggoldVIRGINIA602024
MonticelloNORTH-CAROLINA582024
GatchelvillePENNSYLVANIA581990
AndersonSOUTH-CAROLINA582018
CrestGEORGIA562023
MadisonNORTH-CAROLINA561985
FairviewNORTH-CAROLINA542024
Barton CreekSOUTH-CAROLINA542022
AspersPENNSYLVANIA521989
IjamsvilleMARYLAND502024
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA492024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.