BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Piedmont has held roughly steady: down 4% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-4%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
172Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Piedmont. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 33 (95% range 26–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
33Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
26–4095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±1.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 33 (95% range 26–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026342740
2027342740
2028332740
2029332640
2030332640

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Salem XrdSOUTH-CAROLINA992019
OakboroNORTH-CAROLINA822025
GladysVIRGINIA822025
OlneyMARYLAND772025
BrodnaxVIRGINIA742025
West GrovePENNSYLVANIA721996
FairviewNORTH-CAROLINA652025
BlacksburgSOUTH-CAROLINA652013
EmmitsburgMARYLAND642025
Hulls XroadsNORTH-CAROLINA642023
SawmillNORTH-CAROLINA622025
RinggoldVIRGINIA622025
BendersvillePENNSYLVANIA612024
CampobelloSOUTH-CAROLINA602025
GatchelvillePENNSYLVANIA581990
AndersonSOUTH-CAROLINA582018
MadisonNORTH-CAROLINA561985
Lincolnton 2GEORGIA542025
Bachman MillMARYLAND542025
Barton CreekSOUTH-CAROLINA542022
AspersPENNSYLVANIA521989
IjamsvilleMARYLAND512025
JacobusPENNSYLVANIA512025
SiloamNORTH-CAROLINA502025
Mount JoyPENNSYLVANIA502025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.