Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Mourning Dove In Appalachian Mountains
Mourning Dove in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 77% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+77%Since 1968
402Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Mourning Dove has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 77% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 25 (95% range 21–29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+17%Change by 2029
25Projected 2029 index
21–2995% range
±14.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | 20 | 28 |
| 2026 | 24 | 21 | 28 |
| 2027 | 25 | 21 | 28 |
| 2028 | 25 | 21 | 29 |
| 2029 | 25 | 21 | 29 |
Routes In Appalachian Mountains
| Omega | OHIO | 149 | 2024 |
| Churchville | VIRGINIA | 88 | 2024 |
| Birmingham | ALABAMA | 84 | 1995 |
| Williamsport | MARYLAND | 79 | 2024 |
| Dresden | OHIO | 77 | 2024 |
| Talladega | ALABAMA | 68 | 2024 |
| Staffordsvil | KENTUCKY | 67 | 1997 |
| Drehersville | PENNSYLVANIA | 63 | 1999 |
| Drehersville 2 | PENNSYLVANIA | 63 | 2024 |
| Summitt | ALABAMA | 61 | 1981 |
| Meridale | NEW-YORK | 60 | 2024 |
| Big Flat | PENNSYLVANIA | 58 | 1981 |
| Sturgills | NORTH-CAROLINA | 57 | 2024 |
| Davis Crossroads | GEORGIA | 55 | 2021 |
| Greasy Ridge | OHIO | 55 | 1991 |
| Corryton Rd | TENNESSEE | 55 | 2019 |
| Climer | TENNESSEE | 54 | 2004 |
| Scheafferstn | PENNSYLVANIA | 53 | 2001 |
| Sugar Grove | WEST-VIRGINIA | 53 | 2024 |
| Mifflintown | PENNSYLVANIA | 52 | 2024 |
| Paintsville | KENTUCKY | 51 | 1995 |
| Brunnerville | PENNSYLVANIA | 51 | 2009 |
| Stoneybreak | PENNSYLVANIA | 51 | 2024 |
| Middletown | PENNSYLVANIA | 49 | 2024 |
| Waller | PENNSYLVANIA | 48 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.