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Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods has held roughly steady: down 7% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-7%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
166Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 33 (95% range 25–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
33Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
25–4095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 33 (95% range 25–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026332541
2027332541
2028332541
2029332540
2030332540

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
NewberryINDIANA992025
ElkmontALABAMA972025
GlencoeKENTUCKY892022
Cole CampMISSOURI891990
SpencerINDIANA822024
GlenTENNESSEE822025
New PhilaINDIANA792025
Clear SpringINDIANA762025
ScottsburgINDIANA702025
KeysburgKENTUCKY692025
PleasurevillKENTUCKY672025
Indian SpgsINDIANA662025
PlumKENTUCKY652025
BoxvilleKENTUCKY641983
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY632021
Cedar GroveKENTUCKY622025
Million 2KENTUCKY602024
YorkILLINOIS572025
Wheeler DamALABAMA562025
WashingtonINDIANA562025
EastviewKENTUCKY552025
Sewell ShopKENTUCKY552025
CelestineINDIANA532025
DemunbrunsKENTUCKY522021
Hodgenville 2KENTUCKY522023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.