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Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods has held roughly steady: down 4% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-4%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
166Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 36 in 2024 to a central estimate of 33 (95% range 25–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
33Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
25–4095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 36 in 2024 to a central estimate of 33 (95% range 25–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025332541
2026332541
2027332541
2028332541
2029332540

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
NewberryINDIANA902024
GlencoeKENTUCKY892022
Cole CampMISSOURI891990
YorkILLINOIS882024
Indian SpgsINDIANA882024
PleasurevillKENTUCKY882024
RoyaltonILLINOIS872024
New PhilaINDIANA852024
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE832024
SpencerINDIANA822024
ScottsburgINDIANA812024
KarnakILLINOIS782024
WashingtonINDIANA772024
BremenILLINOIS712024
BoxvilleKENTUCKY641983
JohnsonvilleKENTUCKY632021
EastviewKENTUCKY622024
Sewell ShopKENTUCKY612023
ElkmontALABAMA602024
Million 2KENTUCKY602024
CelestineINDIANA592024
West PlainsMISSOURI592024
WhitewaterMISSOURI582024
GlenTENNESSEE562024
KeysburgKENTUCKY552024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.