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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mourning Dove In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau has declined: down 40% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-40%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 45 in 2024 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 11–60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-22%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
35Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
11–6095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 45 in 2024 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 11–60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025381362
2026371362
2027371261
2028361161
2029351160

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pidcoke 2TEXAS1022024
San SabaTEXAS722024
ManorTEXAS602024
GeorgetownTEXAS571985
BoerneTEXAS552024
HarperTEXAS532024
KempnerTEXAS502024
Valley SpgsTEXAS442024
Indian MtnTEXAS422024
UtopiaTEXAS412024
RockspringTEXAS382024
LeakeyTEXAS352024
Dripping SpgTEXAS342024
MontellTEXAS302024
Allen CreekTEXAS302024
PidcokeTEXAS272017
LeanderTEXAS262006
FitzhughTEXAS211983
AdamsvilleTEXAS212024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS192024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.