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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Mourning Dove In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-37%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Mourning Dove In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 20% by 2030 — from 44 in 2025 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 11–60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-20%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
35Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
11–6095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 20% by 2030 — from 44 in 2025 to a central estimate of 35 (95% range 11–60). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026381362
2027371361
2028361261
2029361160
2030351160

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Mourning Dove in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pidcoke 2TEXAS1012025
AdamsvilleTEXAS742025
San SabaTEXAS642025
ManorTEXAS602024
GeorgetownTEXAS571985
LeakeyTEXAS562025
HarperTEXAS522025
Valley SpgsTEXAS482025
Indian MtnTEXAS462025
Allen CreekTEXAS402025
Manor 2TEXAS382025
Dripping SpgTEXAS352025
BoerneTEXAS342025
KempnerTEXAS322025
UtopiaTEXAS282025
PidcokeTEXAS272017
LeanderTEXAS262006
RockspringTEXAS242025
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS232025
FitzhughTEXAS211983
MontellTEXAS92025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.