BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mississippi Kite In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Mississippi Kite in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 15× on the route-weighted index since 1970.

15×Since 1970
82Routes In Region
51Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Mississippi Kite has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 15× on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 43% by 2029 — from 0.71 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.63–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+43%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.63–1.495% range
±22.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.930.551.3
20260.950.571.3
20270.970.591.3
20280.990.611.4
20291.00.631.4

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Liberty HillTEXAS92023
LockesburgARKANSAS62019
LongstreetLOUISIANA62024
PoyenARKANSAS42006
StarkARKANSAS42023
Coal HillARKANSAS42022
Mer RougeLOUISIANA42008
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA42021
SpringhillARKANSAS32022
NanceARKANSAS32024
Burr FerryLOUISIANA32024
Fort JessupLOUISIANA32023
IvanLOUISIANA32013
NatchezLOUISIANA32024
Big CedarOKLAHOMA32019
PhillipsOKLAHOMA32006
IndianolaOKLAHOMA32019
Old MiloARKANSAS22014
Locust BayouARKANSAS22023
AshdownARKANSAS22023
HavanaARKANSAS22021
StephensARKANSAS22022
PrincetonARKANSAS22021
Princeton 2ARKANSAS22022
CypressLOUISIANA21982

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.