BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mallard In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasWaterfowl

Mallard in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has edged up: up 15% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

+15%Since 1975
20Routes In Region
29Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Mallard in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mallard in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±219.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3195% range
±219.7%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.100.000.32
20260.100.000.32
20270.090.000.32
20280.090.000.32
20290.090.000.31

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Mallard in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
McalesterOKLAHOMA121983
NatchitochesLOUISIANA111989
CypressLOUISIANA61987
ChandlerTEXAS62004
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA52000
HopeARKANSAS31990
PocolaOKLAHOMA31992
New WaverlyTEXAS31976
StampsARKANSAS22001
StarkARKANSAS21977
NanceARKANSAS22005
ZwolleLOUISIANA22012
NatchezLOUISIANA21996
IndianolaOKLAHOMA22004
AthensTEXAS22024
LongstreetLOUISIANA12010
PhillipsOKLAHOMA11973
MortonTEXAS12007
CrossroadsTEXAS12011
Chandler 2TEXAS12009

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.