Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lesser Prairie-Chicken Population Trend in Texas
Lesser Prairie-Chicken in Texas has fallen sharply: down 63% on the route-weighted index since 1979.
-63%Since 1979
3Routes In State
21Years
Notable Lesser Prairie-Chicken Trends in Texas
No notable trend signals for Lesser Prairie-Chicken in Texas. See the full index history below.
Lesser Prairie-Chicken Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Lesser Prairie-Chicken in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2018, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±499.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2018
0.03Projected 2018 index
0.00–0.1895% range
±499.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2015 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2016 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2017 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2018 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
Lesser Prairie-Chicken Survey Routes in Texas
Lesser Prairie-Chicken Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.