BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lesser Goldfinch In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestGeneralists

Lesser Goldfinch in Northern Pacific Rainforest has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-57%Since 1970
58Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Lesser Goldfinch has fallen sharply in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lesser Goldfinch in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 74% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.42 (95% range 0.00–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-74%Change by 2029
0.42Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.395% range
±46.4%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.700.002.6
20260.630.002.5
20270.560.002.4
20280.490.002.4
20290.420.002.3

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Lesser Goldfinch in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
TualatinOREGON512024
GarfieldOREGON262023
Shasta LakeCALIFORNIA182024
AlderpointCALIFORNIA152012
Hay ForkCALIFORNIA152017
Emigrant Lake 2OREGON122024
LongvaleCALIFORNIA112023
Martins FyCALIFORNIA92009
YrekaCALIFORNIA92019
SalemOREGON92024
Horse CreekCALIFORNIA82019
HullvilleCALIFORNIA82019
WedderburnOREGON72018
DaytonOREGON72022
Secret ValOREGON72022
Emigrant LkOREGON72001
GreenOREGON72024
RuchOREGON72023
DerbyOREGON61993
Rio DellCALIFORNIA52010
OrleansCALIFORNIA52012
Sams ValleyOREGON42024
CanbyOREGON42024
ScappooseOREGON42023
Fish RockCALIFORNIA32012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.