BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lesser Goldfinch In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Lesser Goldfinch in Oaks and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-51%Since 1969
18Routes In Region
46Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Lesser Goldfinch has fallen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lesser Goldfinch in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 47% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±311.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+47%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2495% range
±311.6%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.100.000.24
20260.100.000.24
20270.100.000.24
20280.100.000.24
20290.090.000.24

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Lesser Goldfinch in Oaks and Prairies.
OsageTEXAS52021
Three RiversTEXAS32024
BriteTEXAS32021
HobsonTEXAS22009
Glen RoseTEXAS21988
AlbanyTEXAS22010
WalburgTEXAS21994
ComancheTEXAS22002
CampbelltonTEXAS12016
LockhartTEXAS12023
Lone OakTEXAS12019
SeldenTEXAS11969
CottonwoodTEXAS12017
OlneyTEXAS12009
YoakumTEXAS12012
BonnerTEXAS12012
Whit Mtn.TEXAS12013
MegargelTEXAS11997

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.