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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Lesser Goldfinch In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauForest birds

Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau has held roughly steady: down 9% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-9%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Lesser Goldfinch In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 13% by 2030 — from 7.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.9 (95% range 3.0–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.0–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±47.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 13% by 2030 — from 7.9 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.9 (95% range 3.0–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20268.62.714
20278.72.815
20288.82.915
20298.82.915
20308.93.015

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dripping SpgTEXAS382025
UtopiaTEXAS202025
Pidcoke 2TEXAS182025
BoerneTEXAS172025
GeorgetownTEXAS61977
Manor 2TEXAS62025
LeakeyTEXAS52025
MontellTEXAS52025
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS52023
Allen CreekTEXAS52025
San SabaTEXAS42025
HarperTEXAS32025
RockspringTEXAS32025
Indian MtnTEXAS22025
FitzhughTEXAS11977
Valley SpgsTEXAS12018
PidcokeTEXAS12006
KempnerTEXAS12024
AdamsvilleTEXAS11994
LeanderTEXAS12002

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.