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Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lesser Goldfinch In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau has edged up: up 10% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+10%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Lesser Goldfinch In Edwards Plateau Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 100% by 2029 — from 4.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.9 (95% range 3.0–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+100%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.0–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±47.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 100% by 2029 — from 4.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.9 (95% range 3.0–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20258.62.615
20268.62.715
20278.72.815
20288.82.915
20298.93.015

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Lesser Goldfinch in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dripping SpgTEXAS222024
UtopiaTEXAS152024
LeakeyTEXAS142024
San SabaTEXAS72024
GeorgetownTEXAS61977
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS52023
BoerneTEXAS42024
Allen CreekTEXAS32024
HarperTEXAS22022
Indian MtnTEXAS22024
FitzhughTEXAS11977
Valley SpgsTEXAS12018
PidcokeTEXAS12006
KempnerTEXAS12024
AdamsvilleTEXAS11994
Pidcoke 2TEXAS12024
LeanderTEXAS12002
MontellTEXAS12024
RockspringTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.