BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lesser Goldfinch In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Lesser Goldfinch in Shortgrass Prairie has edged up: up 14% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+14%Since 1973
40Routes In Region
48Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Lesser Goldfinch in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lesser Goldfinch in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 83% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.20 (95% range 0.04–0.35). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±84.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+83%Change by 2029
0.20Projected 2029 index
0.04–0.3595% range
±84.7%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.190.040.35
20260.200.040.35
20270.200.040.35
20280.200.040.35
20290.200.040.35

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Lesser Goldfinch in Shortgrass Prairie.
Cone MtnCOLORADO122018
Frankel CityTEXAS72021
ElbertCOLORADO42024
Kiowa 2COLORADO32024
GrenvilleNEW-MEXICO32019
RosebudNEW-MEXICO32013
SabinosoNEW-MEXICO32019
CrowleyCOLORADO22021
VillegreenCOLORADO22023
Last Chance 2COLORADO22022
TucumcariNEW-MEXICO21975
Cooley LakeNEW-MEXICO22023
LamesaTEXAS22022
FloydadaTEXAS22006
KermitTEXAS21999
BriggsdaleCOLORADO11995
KiowaCOLORADO12018
AbarrCOLORADO11976
HudsonCOLORADO11990
TrincheraCOLORADO12022
NinaviewCOLORADO12024
KarvalCOLORADO11998
Doyle Bridge 2COLORADO12021
FarleyNEW-MEXICO12018
CaprockNEW-MEXICO11993

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.