BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lark Sparrow In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGrassland birds

Lark Sparrow in Central Hardwoods has fallen sharply: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-75%Since 1968
83Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Lark Sparrow has fallen sharply in Central Hardwoods: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.14 (95% range 0.00–0.37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±313.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.14Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3795% range
±313.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.150.000.38
20260.140.000.38
20270.140.000.38
20280.140.000.37
20290.140.000.37

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Lark Sparrow in Central Hardwoods.
CyprssINDIANA62011
CassvilleMISSOURI62022
FultonARKANSAS52023
RussellARKANSAS42021
CraneMISSOURI31994
BaronOKLAHOMA32023
Wheeler DamALABAMA22023
ComptonARKANSAS21976
Ravenden SpringsARKANSAS22010
RoyaltonILLINOIS22023
NewberryINDIANA22019
HodgenvilleKENTUCKY21969
PorterKENTUCKY21974
Sewell ShopKENTUCKY21966
PinevilleMISSOURI21991
SedaliaMISSOURI22014
MillerMISSOURI22017
DiamondMISSOURI22015
RueterMISSOURI22022
ColcordOKLAHOMA22014
Belotes BendTENNESSEE21970
BradyvilleTENNESSEE21966
ElkmontALABAMA12024
CourtlandALABAMA12021
Carter GroveALABAMA12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.