BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lark Sparrow In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGrassland birds

Lark Sparrow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has edged up: up 18% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+18%Since 1969
129Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Lark Sparrow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 14 (95% range 7.7–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+20%Change by 2029
14Projected 2029 index
7.7–2195% range
±11.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025147.621
2026147.721
2027147.721
2028147.721
2029147.721

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Lark Sparrow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
EldoradoTEXAS692023
MullenNEBRASKA522023
ArthurNEBRASKA492024
PhrosoOKLAHOMA432024
RosstonOKLAHOMA412018
Pear ValleyTEXAS412024
GirardTEXAS392023
NenzelNEBRASKA382024
GordonNEBRASKA372024
WoodwardOKLAHOMA342024
CoopertonOKLAHOMA332024
Piester LakeNEBRASKA322024
ChildressTEXAS322024
CashionOKLAHOMA312024
LookoutOKLAHOMA302023
ColonyOKLAHOMA301995
HollisOKLAHOMA292024
SicklesOKLAHOMA282021
Wichita MtnsOKLAHOMA271994
WilliamsTEXAS262024
ChesterOKLAHOMA251988
CharlieTEXAS252024
ReedOKLAHOMA242019
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA231994
BeaverOKLAHOMA222018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.